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Ruling party would fail to secure majority in election, poll reveals

Mateusz Marek/PAP

Poland’s ruling Law and Justice (PiS) party would win an election but not secure enough seats in parliament to govern, a an opinion poll published on Tuesday has found.

The research, conducted by United Surveys for the Dziennik Gazeta Prawna (GDP) newspaper and RMF FM private radio station, revealed that opposition parties could form a government and that the far-right Confederation (Konfederacja) party would fail to enter the Sejm, Poland’s lower house of parliament.

“Although the party of (PiS leader – PAP) Jaroslaw Kaczynski is in first place with 34-percent support, according to the the number of seats under Dr Jaroslaw Flis’s calculator, they would not have a chance to form a government,” GDP wrote referring to a well-known political expert. “They would only receive 192 seats of the 231 needed for majority rule.”

The paper reported that the main opposition grouping, the centrist Civic Coalition (KO), would take 26 percent of the vote, followed by the conservative Poland 2050 on 14 percent, the Left on 9 percent and the Polish People’s Party (PSL) with almost 7 percent. Confederation would fail to gain the five percent needed to enter the house.

DGP went on to write that, based on the poll’s results, Poland’s opposition parties would have a “very stable majority of up to 268 seats, or 37 more than required to form a government.

“At the same time, the opposition would fall only eight seats short of the threshold three fifths majority needed to overturn a presidential veto,” DGP added.

United Surveys conducted the poll between November 10 and 12 on a national sample of 1,000 adults using the Computer-Assisted Telephone Interview method.


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